April 14, 2025 Edition
At Valor, our goal is to keep you informed of the latest news and updates from the oil and gas industry. We are committed to sharing the insights and knowledge that our team gathers to help you stay ahead in this dynamic sector. From mergers and acquisitions to regulatory changes and technological advancements, we cover all the key developments that impact the industry. Stay tuned for weekly updates to keep you well-informed.
- Goldman Sachs expects oil prices to decline through 2026
- Summary: Goldman Sachs expects oil prices to decline through 2026 due to recession risks and rising OPEC+ supply. Brent and WTI are forecast to average $63 and $59 per barrel for the rest of 2025, and $58 and $55 in 2026. Demand growth is projected at only 300,000 bpd by end-2025, while global surpluses may reach 800,000 bpd in 2025 and 1.4 million bpd in 2026. In a slowdown or full OPEC+ reversal scenario, Brent could fall into the $40 range or lower. Beijing’s new 125% tariff on U.S. imports further escalates trade tensions impacting demand.
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- Russia targets major surge in natural gas exports by 2050
- Summary: Russia aims to double its natural gas exports by 2030 and triple them by 2050 under its new energy strategy. The country’s gas exports are expected to increase from 146 bcm in 2023 to 293 bcm by 2030, and up to 438 bcm by 2050. Crude oil production is projected to rise slightly, from 531 million metric tons in 2023 to 540 million by 2050, with oil exports remaining steady at around 235 million tons per year. The strategy includes expanding exports to “friendly countries” and boosting Arctic energy development.
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- Oil rig count slides amid oil price turbulence
- Summary: The total U.S. rig count fell by 7 to 583 this week, down 34 from last year, with oil rigs dropping by 9 to 480 and gas rigs rising by 1 to 97. U.S. crude production decreased slightly to 13.458 million bpd, 173,000 bpd below the record high in December 2024, while the Permian Basin rig count fell by 5 to 289—27 fewer than last year. Amid OPEC+ output increases and trade tensions, WTI fell to $60.54 and Brent to $63.93, both more than $1 lower than the previous week’s prices.
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- BP makes deepwater oil discovery in gulf of america
- Summary: BP has made an oil discovery at the Far South prospect in the deepwater U.S. Gulf of America, 120 miles off Louisiana’s coast, in 4,092 feet of water. The discovery, drilled to 23,830 feet, is co-owned by BP (57.5%) and Chevron (42.5%), with preliminary data indicating a potentially commercial volume. This discovery supports BP’s strategy to increase Gulf of America production to over 400,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day by 2030, as part of its broader plan to reach 2.3-2.5 million boepd global production by 2030.
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- Debate flares over texas’ proposed oil and gas waste rule
- Summary: Texas is updating its oil and gas waste rules for the first time since 1984, proposing new requirements for pits and commercial facilities that manage drilling waste like produced water and cuttings. The Railroad Commission’s draft includes stricter standards for liners, groundwater monitoring, and registration, but critics argue it lacks adequate protections—especially since Texas recorded 712 water contamination violations since 2015 and 3.9 billion barrels of produced water are generated annually in the Permian Basin alone. Industry groups support revisions to reduce costs, while environmental advocates push for stronger safeguards and extended public input.
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- Trump dumps Biden environmental review for 3,244 oil and gas leases
- Summary: The Trump administration will cancel a Biden-era environmental review for 3,244 federal oil and gas leases across seven western states, including Wyoming, issued between 2015 and 2020. This decision follows a decade-long legal and political battle over climate and health implications of drilling, with the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) opting for alternative review processes to meet legal requirements. Industry groups argue the leases’ impacts have been adequately analyzed, while conservationists criticize the rollback, citing ongoing environmental and health concerns.
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