November 10, 2025 Edition
At Valor, our goal is to keep you informed of the latest news and updates from the oil and gas industry. We are committed to sharing the insights and knowledge that our team gathers to help you stay ahead in this dynamic sector. From mergers and acquisitions to regulatory changes and technological advancements, we cover all the key developments that impact the industry. Stay tuned for weekly updates to keep you well-informed.
- U.S. drillers boost oil and gas rigs again, signaling shift in energy
- Summary: The U.S. oil and gas rig count rose by two to 548 for the week ending November 7, marking the third increase in four weeks, though the total remains 6% (or 37 rigs) below last year. Baker Hughes reported that oil rigs held steady at 414, but gas rigs rose by three to 128, the highest since August 2023, while the Texas rig count fell to a new low of 234. Despite a planned 4% capex cut in 2025, the EIA projects crude output will rise to 13.5 million bpd, and a 56% gas price hike will boost gas output to 107.1 bcfd.
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- Horizontal well declines require more drilling to sustain production
- Summary: U.S. oil and gas production relies on new drilling, as horizontal wells (94% of oil, 92% of gas) decline rapidly. From Dec 2023 to Dec 2024, L48 crude oil production from legacy wells fell by 4.3 million b/d, but 4.4 million b/d from over 15,000 new wells replaced this loss, increasing total output to 11.2 million b/d. During the same period, natural gas production saw legacy declines of 27.0 Bcf/d, but new wells added 28.0 Bcf/d, pushing the total to 116.5 Bcf/d in Dec 2024.
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- Crude oil weekly outlook: Market sentiment pressures prices
- Summary: Risk-off sentiment, driven primarily by the prolonged U.S. government shutdown that began in early October 2025, continues to pressure U.S. oil prices, which are holding near the mid-zone of a long-term downward channel, slightly above the $59 mark. The market is also weighed down by AI-related layoffs and stretched sentiment, while Chinese CPI rose to +0.2%, and U.S. stock indices are testing critical support. A confirmed technical break below the yearly low of $55 could push WTI toward $49, while a breakout above short-term resistances at $63 and $66.80 is required to signal a structural recovery toward $70.
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- Gas futures capped by warm weather and production surge
- Summary: December natural gas futures fell 0.96% to settle at $4.313, pressured by forecasts for unseasonably warm U.S. weather, which is expected to dent heating demand. Bearish sentiment was reinforced by strong supply, as U.S. dry gas production hit 110.0 bcf/day (up 8.1% year-over-year) and the active rig count rose to a 2.25-year high. While the EIA’s +33 bcf storage injection was below the 5-year average, total U.S. gas inventories remain ample at 4.3% above the seasonal norm, capping any bullish momentum.
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- SLB completes $8.2 billion ChampionX deal, expands in Permian
- Summary: SLB has completed its $8.2 billion acquisition of ChampionX, a deal announced last spring that significantly expands its offerings in the resilient Permian Basin. The combined entity will offer integrated services from well construction and artificial lift to advanced chemicals and digital monitoring. SLB is now focused on deploying new advanced technology to help operators drill faster and longer laterals, while also investing heavily in digital solutions for efficiency and safety, as well as green chemistry for the beneficial reuse of produced water.
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- The $30 break-even project driving Exxon’s success
- Summary: ExxonMobil’s Q3 2025 earnings were supported by strong production (4.8 million boe/d, up 4% YoY) despite Brent prices falling 13% YoY. The performance was driven by the Permian and Guyana’s Stabroek Block, where production exceeded 850,000 b/d from an asset holding at least 11 billion barrels. This Guyana asset is highly profitable with a low $30/barrel breakeven price and a favorable 2% royalty rate, with future projects expected to boost total capacity to 1.5 million b/d by 2029.
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- Oil settles lower on strong dollar and oversupply fears
- Summary: Oil prices settled lower on Tuesday, with Brent crude down 0.7% to $64.44 a barrel and WTI down 0.8% to $60.56. Prices were pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar (a four-month high against the euro), weak Japanese manufacturing data, and fears that the 35-day U.S. government shutdown could hurt fuel demand. This bearish sentiment was amplified by supply glut concerns after OPEC+ paused its output hikes for Q1 2026, while the price boost from recent U.S. sanctions on Russian oil firms also faded.
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