July 6, 2026 Edition
At Valor, our goal is to keep you informed of the latest news and updates from the oil and gas industry. We are committed to sharing the insights and knowledge that our team gathers to help you stay ahead in this dynamic sector. From mergers and acquisitions to regulatory changes and technological advancements, we cover all the key developments that impact the industry. Stay tuned for weekly updates to keep you well-informed.
- OPEC+ approves further oil output increase as Hormuz exports start to recover
- Summary: OPEC+ agreed to raise production quotas by 188,000 barrels per day from August, adding to prior hikes that increased targets by nearly 800,000 bpd from April through July. Total group output had fallen from 42.77 million bpd in February to 33.13 million bpd in May before beginning a partial recovery in June. Meanwhile, Brent crude traded near $72 per barrel, down from peaks over $120, as the seven core members work to unwind the remaining 379,000 bpd of a 1.65 million bpd cut enacted in 2023.
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Citi: Oil could sink to $60 as Hormuz traffic normalizes - Summary: Citigroup projects Brent crude prices could plunge to $60 or $65 a barrel by the end of the year as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz normalizes. Other Wall Street firms have also adjusted their forecasts downward following the signing of the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding. Goldman Sachs predicts a global oil surplus of roughly 3 million barrels per day next year, noting that a projected global SPR rebuilding of just over 1 million barrels per day would still leave a 2 million barrel surplus.
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- Execs predict where Henry Hub price will land in future
- Summary: In the second quarter Dallas Fed Energy Survey, executives from 97 firms projected mean Henry Hub gas prices of $3.35 per MMBtu in six months, $3.45 in one year, $3.75 in two years, and $4.14 in five years. For the end of 2026, 123 executives forecasted an average price of $3.36 per MMBtu, within a range of $2.00 to $4.65, while the average spot price during the survey period was $3.15. Meanwhile, reports noted the August contract closed at $3.275 on Tuesday, up 9.4 cents or 3.0 percent.
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- U.S. energy firms add rigs for third week in a row, says Baker Hughes
- Summary: The total U.S. oil and gas rig count increased by seven to 580 for the week ending July 2, a figure that is 41 rigs or 7.6% higher than last year’s level. Baker Hughes reported that oil rigs climbed by five to 445, gas rigs rose by one to 126, and miscellaneous rigs grew by one to nine. This activity follows consecutive annual rig count declines of 20% in 2023, 5% in 2024, and 7% in 2025, though the EIA projects 2026 crude output will reach 13.7 million bpd and gas output will hit 111.0 bcfd.
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OPEC oil production jumps, but Gulf supply is still far from normal - Summary: OPEC oil production rebounded sharply in June as 11 member nations produced 19.43 million barrels per day, marking a monthly increase of 3.3 million bpd. This rise followed the lifting of a naval blockade under a 60-day agreement, though output remained well below quotas and pre-war tanker traffic levels. Meanwhile, global supply pressures persist as the United States posted record crude production of nearly 14 million barrels per day, and the UAE exported record volumes from its own storage.
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Shell offloads stake in U.S. Gulf production hub - Summary: Shell is selling its 50 percent ownership in the Na Kika platform and 100 percent in the Coulomb tieback to Ridgewood Energy and Talos Energy for $1.7 billion. In 2025, the Na Kika platform contributed 37,000 boe a day to Shell’s production and accounted for 4.3 million boe of proven reserves, while Coulomb accounted for 7.2 million boe. In a separate U.S. divestment, Shell completed the transfer of Jiffy Lube International, which comprised 6.5 percent of its regional footprint, for $1.3 billion.
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XRG expands rio Grande LNG stake, now invested across all five trains - Summary: XRG acquired an additional 7.6% equity interest in Trains 4 and 5 of the Rio Grande LNG project in Texas from Global Infrastructure Partners. This expands on its prior purchase of an indirect 11.7% stake in Phase 1, which includes Trains 1 through 3. The NextDecade-operated facility has roughly 30 MMtpa of liquefaction capacity under construction, with Trains 4 and 5 adding 12 MMtpa, and it is expected to receive first gas in the second half of 2026 before production begins in 2027.
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